NFL Draft betting: Sorting fact from fiction
Just a few days remain until the NFL Draft, which is an intriguing event from a betting standpoint. There are a ton of alternatives available, and there are a ton of talking heads offering you opinions, false information, and even truths. Cutting through that is difficult.
I quickly read over several paragraphs this morning and wanted to draw your attention to the following.
Bets That I Found Interesting
The Competition for Pick #2
QB Will Levis is now the favorite at -140. Few people believe he should be selected as the second quarterback, let alone the second player overall, so this development is intriguing. Although fellow Quarterback Bryce Young is expected to go first overall, there are a number of compelling alternatives at this spot. DE LB Will Anderson is +380, while Tyree Wilson is +250. Don't forget that Anderson played linebacker at Alabama, as did Demeco Ryans, the current head coach of the Houston Texans. Although Anderson's potential may not be as great as some others', there do not appear to be any fears of a collapse.
The first cornerback chosen:
Devin Witherspoon, a player from Illinois, is the favorite in this market at -200. He looks destined to go in the first round, but his size isn't great, Christian Gonzalez (+150) of Oregon is projected to go before him in many mock drafts, and Joey Porter Jr. (+2500) has the stature and pedigree to go before him. I'm searching for positive values in a draft where there don't appear to be many definite things, and this could be the place to find one. I can understand how a club may decide against Witherspoon at the last minute and choose a more conventional candidate.
Player selected first by the Buffalo Bills
I enjoy this market for a lot of the teams because, especially if they draft outside the top 5, you generally get excellent value at the top of their board. With their first choice in the draft, the Bills, who I think should go offense/skill, are in this situation. Josh Allen has to have the ball removed from his hands more often. Buffalo is +1100 to select a tight end, +390 to select a receiver, and +1500 to select a running back. Of course, we have no idea how the teams in front will do, but all three are excellent value choices. These wagers are certainly worthwhile to place if you believe you have a line on your favorite teams.
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